::This is probably not the most remarkable of 2014 but is the most extensive in last 24 years::
American Heart Association journal has just released its lifestyle- based prediction model ( an equation that helps you calculate 20-year risk of CVD ) for primordial prevention of CVD ( cardiovascular disease), developed among 61025 women and 34478 women.
Ascertainment was based on life style factors and several dietary factors besides factors like walking, jogging, running or even consumption of fruits, vegitables, fish, meat, nuts, cereal fiber, sodium, saturated fat, polyunsaturated fat, trans fat, folate, alchohol, BMI, tv watching, sleep duration , smoking, juice whole grains etc. you name it was in the study with followup of men and women across ages.
Now the equation ( also recommended for daily clinical setting) is as under:
Women: 20 year CVD risk (%) = [1-0.9660(exp[w-6.57301)] x 100%
Where W= 0.10820x age+ 0.15285 (if past smoker)+ 0.90138 ( if current smoker) + 0.04676 x BMI- 0.01923 x grams/d of alcohol + 0.0004 x ( grams/ d of alcohol) ^2- 0.02951x hours/ week of exercise- 0.05 x diet score * ( diet score is calculated by another model called as BIC which is one id the most parsimonious ( meaning most economical).
Diet score ( women ) = ( 0.0336 x grams/d of cereal fiber + 0.18283 [if fruits + vegetables > 3 servings/ d]+ 0.14522 [if nuts 0.1 -1 servings/d + 0.24444 [ if nuts> 1servings/d] - 0.14631 x servings/d of sugar sweetened beverages - 0.15624x servings/d of red and processed meats) * 10.
Men: 20 year CVD risk (%) = [1-0.96368(exp[m-7.2437)] x 100%
Where M= 0.13580x age -0.0005 x (age) ^2 + 0.06979 (if past smoker)+ 0.42305 ( if current smoker) + 0.07424 x BMI- 0.00898 x grams/d of alcohol + 0.0001 x ( grams/ d of alcohol) ^2- 0.01755x hours/ week of exercise- 0.06691 x diet score * ( diet score is calculated by another model called as BIC which is one id the most parsimonious ( meaning most economical).
Diet score (men ) = ( 0.01816 x grams/d of cereal fiber + 0.08819 [if fruits + vegetables > 3 servings/ d]- 0.00535 [if nuts 0.1 -1 servings/d + 0.14285 [ if nuts> 1servings/d] - 0.14734 x servings/d of sugar sweetened beverages - 0.07112 x servings/d of red and processed meats) * 10. more
i tried to answer this to Prof. Kumar yesterday. Neverthless i shall also paste my earlier post herein again. Let me try this even simpler, what Prof. Kumar said was right there are many tests, i feel conventional are good enough. when it comes to scoring you may not worry in case you cannot sue the formula for a simple reason that it needs a dieticians mind or a calculation that may note be simple.
what si important is that based on some old testing procedure we could calculate a score for risk for coming 10 years. now we can use the current method for 20 years ahead of time.
what also is even more important is that this score is not based on tests but on life style and diet. all i had toe hare was that Lifestyle is what matters and for longer life and also longer in life. the parameters that they used and we should be take care in our daily life is our lifestyle, stress and also what we include in our food such as fruits, vegitables, fish, meat, nuts, cereal fiber, sodium, saturated fat, polyunsaturated fat, trans fat, folate, alcohol should be watched closely. when it comes to BMI we need to watch our weight,be selective in watching happier and good tv when we are watching, keep in mind our sleep duration and the kind of sleep we get and avoid smoking too.
please let me know if this makes sense and i am not sure if you are a professional scientist or in case you may want a whole publication of this guideline i can send it to you.
Dont hesitate to ask again as i feel its my duty to keep trying and be able to send the message across to the best of my ability. Regards more