EP Poll for Delhi - Kejriwal and BJP

The Bharatiya Janata Party is poised to win the Delhi assembly polls comfortably, but the people of Delhi want Arvind Kejriwal as their chief minister. This political paradox is the most critical of several that have emerged in an opinion poll commissioned by ET to gauge the "mood of voters in Delhi state" and conducted by TNS India during the fortnight between November 21 and December 5 in 35 constituencies among 7,113 respondents.

While BJP is expected to retain the 46 per cent vote share it had in the parliamentary polls and win 43-47 of the 70 assembly seats, the Kejriwal-led Aam Aadmi Party, which had ruled the state for 49 days, is expected to make a leap of 7 per cent to cross the 40 per cent vote-share mark and win 22-25 seats.

Delhi polls: Voters prefer BJP but want Arvind Kejriwal in power, says ET-TNS pollBut when it comes to the choice of CM, the people of Delhi favour Kejriwal, according to the survey. He's way ahead of the rest with 42 per cent of respondents rooting for him. Harsh Vardhan, the MP from Chandni Chowk and a minister in the Union government, is the next closest contestant with 28 per cent of respondents saying he should be chief minister. To be sure, dates haven't been announced yet for the elections but most politicians and analysts expect them to be scheduled sometime in February.

All the support BJP is drawing is still in the name of the prime minister: "BJP's performance is primarily pushed by the image of Narendra Modi," said the TNS survey. In fact, BJP's apparent leadership deficit in the citystate was accentuated by the response from the party's own supporters with 2 per cent of them saying they want Kejriwal as the CM. Delhi BJP chief Satish Upadhyay and party member Jagdish Mukhi also don't seem to be popular choices with a 2 per cent rating. more  

View all 7 comments Below 7 comments
It is a fact that BJP has been doing well in State elections ever since the last general elections. It is also a fact that these victories come out as a support to Modi as a leader rather than any State leadership of BJP. This clearly shows a big weakness of BJP. Now people have started realizing that it is not Modi who would be governing in States but other leadership, which they themselves feel weak, evidenced by the fact that such leadership is not being exposed to electorate. More & more BJP & allies leaders are uttering communal statements, showing their real intent. The continuously declining seats & vote share is a clear indicator that popularity is on the decline. Kejriwal's AAP is still the favored choice of people in Delhi. This is reflected in nervousness in BJP which they hope to reverse by bombarding Delhi with all the leaders & MPs in the run up to Delhi elections. more  
The survey is immensely encouraging for AAP. BJP, in the current scenario, is equivalent to an electoral juggernaut sweeping everything in its path. But even the survey, such as it is, does not indicate that AAP has quite been blown away? Besides for the BJP diminishing returns are setting in. The tactics of the ruling party seems to be to present the Central Budget and then seek to exploit the dreams & illusions it creates and with its aid seek to lure the Delhi voter. Will they succeed? May be partially. Remember, AAP is a grounded party; is it not? more  
i heard one radio ad today by bjp claiming that mr modi has reduced petrol prices. our innocent public is made fools by these goons. hope good sense will prevail and aap will win elections for our good. more  
Mr Neeraj Chopraji,
What Modi has delivered in 6 months is known 2 all. He has deceived people who have voted him to power. The poor voter did not expect him to be take a U turn in every promise he made.
To BJP MLAs goongaism, Modi is a silent spectator, rather he is helping them from back door.
Modi has no comparison to honest AK.
What Modiji has done in 180 days.
Sky rocketing prices of veg/daily use items, even at a faster pace than Cong regime, & u say people r appreciating Modiji on this.
Rail fare rise by 14.6%, highest ever & Modiji says Cong is responsible for this ri se.
Sir, do u think people r such fools that they will believe Modiji.
Did u mean by not adhering to SC of India's comment 4 Modiji, to get rid of criminals in his cabinet of ministers, people have started appreciating him.
Did u mean people appreciate Modiji for mass killing in Gujarat(2002) riot, & Amit Shah being his right hand.
Did u mean people appreciate Modiji for spending more than Rs 50,000 crore & using helicopters freely in LS election campaign(donated from black money from Swiss Bank AC holders/Adani/Ambais, whom Modiji tried to defend by not disclosing their names, until SC of India ordered 2 submit all the names).
Sir do u think people have started appreciating Modiji on this also?

SC commented to Modiji, 2 get rid of criminals from his cabinet of ministers. No action on it by Modiji.
Modiji doles out a loan to his friend(in need) Rs 6200 crore from SBI for extracting coal from a Australian mine, when all other foreign banks turned down Adani's loan request as his firm did not qualify the minimum requirement for this loan.
Thousands of crores already looted by MCD(BJP) in 7 yrs. U may refer CAG’s comments of financial irregularities in MCD.
Sir, I am quoting once again Mr Sunil Dutt Agarwal's comments who rightly said "Any survey sample covering less than 50000 respondents (above survey covers just 7113 respondents) from all walks of life and representation from all 70 constituencies (above survey covers just 35 constituencies) may not be true representative sample and may be misleading and can not be relied upon. It is too early and let us wait for more surveys with larger representative sample. Further BJP has no other agenda and heavily relies on Modi's effect, whereas AAP is slowly but firmly re-building its voters base on localised issues including good work done during 49 days. AAP's approach now seems to be constructive and there can be 4-5% voter swing in the next 1 month. Non declaration of election dates for Delhi election further confirms Kejriwal's apprehensions elections being delayed till April 2015.
Now Mr Neeraj Chopraji, please dnt misguide people by telling that u r a neutral person.
Subrata Guha more  
Any survey sample covering less than 50000 respondents (above survey covers just 7113 respondents) from all walks of life and representation from all 70 constituencies (above survey covers just 35 contituencies) may not be ture representative sample and may be misleading and can not be relied upon. It is too early and let us wait for more surveys with larger representative sample. Further BJP has no other agenda and heavily relies on Modi's effect, whereas AAP is slowly but firmly re-building its voters base on localised issues including good work done during 49 days. AAP's approach now seems to be constructive and there can be 4-5% voter swing in the next 1 month. Non declaration of election dates for Delhi election further confirms Kejriwal's apprehensions elections being delayed till April 2015. more  
Post a Comment

Related Posts

    • ARE EVERYONE TIRED OF LOCKDOWN ?

      Now, it appears that both the governments and the public are tired of lockdown. It appears that people have reconciled themselves to live with COVID 19, just as they have been living wi...

      By N.S. Venkataraman
      /
    • DISRESPECT TO CORONA INFECTED DECEASED PERSONS

      It is highly depressing to read news about the local people’s objection to bury / cremate the corona infected deceased persons in their locality. This is happening all over India and par...

      By N.S. Venkataraman
      /
    • COVID 19 - LIFTING LOCKDOWN IN INDIA– A CALCULATED RISK THAT HAS TO BE TAKEN

      A team of management professional, technologists , trader with long experience in their respective field have put their heads together and arrived at suggestions for lifting the lockdown in the f...

      By N.S. Venkataraman
      /
    • MR. MODI SHOULD BAN POLYGAMY TO PROTECT WOMEN’S DIGNITY AND CURB POPULATION GROWTH

      As we celebrate International women’s Day, it is surprising that no one seem to be talking about the practice of polygamy where one man marries several women. This is one of the most uncivil...

      By N.S. Venkataraman
      /
    • DELHI POLICE – SINNED OR SINNED AGAINST ?

      Almost all section of Indian media and most of the critics have blamed the Delhi police for the riots for two days ,when many innocent lives were lost and many were injured and large scale propert...

      By N.S. Venkataraman
      /
    • Someone get this chimpanzee booked

      He is openly challenging Delhi Police and Govt of India. "Trump के जाने तक तो हम शांति से जा रहे। लेकिन उसके बाद हम आपकी भी नही सुनेगे. सड़कें खाली करवाइए तब तक।" "Till Trump...

      By Rajesh Suri
      /
    • Hiow to deal with motivated agitators and terrorists ?

      For the last several days, some members of the Islamic group have been agitating against CAA. Now they are blocking roads in Delhi, Chennai and other places, though the government has assured that ...

      By N.S. Venkataraman
      /
    • Lessons for bjp

      3 lessons for BJP after Delhi: 1) Ideological issues must be supplemented by a solid governance agenda 2) There has to be a vibrant local unit with mohalla presence, & not mer...

      By Rajesh Suri
      /
    • Divisive campaigns have no place in aspirationals

      It was बिजली, पानी, शिक्षा, सुरक्षा chunav till a few weeks ago & then Shaheenbagh became the centrepiece of BJP’s campaign.For weeks women of shaheenbagh were demonised.If exit poll num...

      By Sonal Das
      /
    • Rahul Gandhi is an idiot

      Today Rahul Gandhi said; Ye jo Narendra Modi bhashan de raha hai, 6 mahine baad ye ghar se bahar nahi nikal payega. Hindustan ke yuva isko aisa danda marenge, isko samjha denge ki Hindustan k...

      By Shikha Jain
      /
    • Shameful news 18 India

      You ask a CM in power to prove that he cares about Hanuman and ask him to sing hanuman chalisa live. Well handled Kejriwal ji. Fan of u again in last 2 years. Worth watching everyone

      By Rajesh Suri
      /
Share
Enter your email & mobile number and we will send you the instructions

Note - The email can sometime gets delivered to the spam folder, so the instruction will be send to your mobile as well

Please select a Circle that you want people to invite to.
Invite to
(Maximum 500 email ids allowed.)