1 million cases by July 1 in India
We really need to take things seriously in the coming few weeks and somehow bring this rate under control.
If we open lockdown and go down to 8-10 days to double we would have 5 million cases by july 20.
Pls share this with your CM and DM/collector more
In India, people are still illusioned that Indians have stronger immunity than Europeans/Americans. A large population is so poor and ill informed that they can not adopt social distancing and maintain proper and continuous hygiene. Some communities are making the situation worse. Hence cases are rising so rapidly. Over a period of time, doubling rate will diminish as virus will not be able to find many weak people and people will also take proper preventive measures. hence, we should not create panic and spend our energy in educating people to maintain hygiene and take preventive measures. more
From: Sarita Ravichandran
Sent: 16 May 2020 14:03
Subject: "1 million cases by July 1..."
Yeah.we will surely reach such levels , if that1s what WE WANT.
Istead, if we practice compassion towards all living things ,and stop killing millions of them on a daily basis, there could be a change in our outlook and that of NATURE. This is a thought worth considering in these trying times.
Ramarao m more
However I do not see a totally pessimistic scenario. In handling migratory labor force we have effected it without sufficient preparation and precautions resulting in unmanageable influx in the states of U.P. and Bihar in North and T.N., Karnataka,Andhra etc. resulting in sudden increase of positive cases. This was anticipated. Also as we open up economic activity, again there will be a spurt in Positive cases. However it is expected and hoped with restraint and discipline as well as improved position of medical facilities the increasing number of positive cases shall peak by 15-06-2020 and thereafter there would be a steady fall in number of positive cases. We MUST remember all the time that "Constant vigilance is the price of liberty" and we are not under British rule to always shout for non co-operation.
Hence even if the cases are high the death rate will be low. Hence even if the testing per day of 100 cases in one test centre is done and even if we cross 1 million before July 1, i won't be surprised. This is bcos to control 130 cr is not a easy task. Still bcos of the demography India is able to manage. If we follow displine like China(wuhan) we may be able to contain the spread better. But we need to understand we are a Democracy and the freedom we have curtailed is itself a great achievement as against USA (Presidential form of Democracy. more